Cod for future
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Level of precaution

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  • Level of precaution

Level of precaution

Does a more precautionary approach enable higher catches in the long term? What compromises results in the short term?

Please select the scenarios:

  • RCP 8.5, lim. prod., FMSY * 50%
  • RCP 8.5, lim. prod., FMSY * 75%
  • RCP 8.5, lim. prod., FMSY * 100%

In the long term the scenario with the highest levels of catch is the 75 % scenario, thus a more precautionary approach will enable higher catches. In the short term the 100 % scenario will as expected lead to higher catches. But all scenarios show in the second half of the century a decreasing trend, a likely effect of increased water temperatures negatively affecting recruitment (see section Explore on your own).

Recovery time
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